Free pick of the day · Wednesday 28-10-26

DEN @ NOP — NBA

PENDING

Nikola Jokic under 39.5 PR (-112)

Prop Pts Rebs · 8:10 PM ET · Model v6.11.0

What the model saw

These are the model's own factors, not hand-picked trends.

This side covered in 78.9% of 15,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Simulation rate is a model output, not a promise.

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All-time record across every published pick: 126–117–2 pushes (3 voided) = 51.9% on 243 decided, +10.6 units (3.2% ROI). Honest math: breakeven at −110 is ~52.4%, and at this sample size the edge is not statistically proven. We publish it anyway — every pick, graded, including the losses. Full ledger →