Free pick of the day · Sunday 18-10-26

Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers — NFL

PENDING

Green Bay Packers ML (-120)

Moneyline · 8:20 PM ET · Model v5.7

What the model saw

🛡️ **Key Factor:** Green Bay Packers allows 21.5 PPG vs opponent allows 28.8
⚠️ **Note:** High variance game (±13 point std dev)

These are the model's own factors, not hand-picked trends.

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All-time record across every published pick: 122–112–2 pushes (3 voided) = 52.1% on 234 decided, +6.3 units (1.9% ROI). Honest math: breakeven at −110 is ~52.4%, and at this sample size the edge is not statistically proven. We publish it anyway — every pick, graded, including the losses. Full ledger →