⚠️ **Note:** High variance game (±13 point std dev)
These are the model's own factors, not hand-picked trends.
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All-time record across every published pick: 118–101–2 pushes (3 voided)
= 53.9% on 219 decided, +5.0 units (1.6% ROI).
Honest math: breakeven at −110 is ~52.4%, and at this sample size the edge is not statistically proven.
We publish it anyway — every pick, graded, including the losses. Full ledger →