Free pick of the day · Thursday 17-09-26

Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills — NFL

LOSS +0.00 units

Isaac TeSlaa UNDER 1.5 receptions (-112)

Prop · 8:15 PM ET

What the model saw

⚠️ **Note:** High variance game (±15 point std dev)

These are the model's own factors, not hand-picked trends.

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All-time record across every published pick: 126–117–2 pushes (5 voided) = 51.9% on 243 decided, +10.6 units (3.2% ROI). Honest math: breakeven at −110 is ~52.4%, and at this sample size the edge is not statistically proven. We publish it anyway — every pick, graded, including the losses. Full ledger →