Free pick of the day · Sunday 13-09-26

Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles — NFL

LOSS -1.57 units

Philadelphia Eagles -5.5 (-108)

Point spread · 4:25 PM ET · Model v4.7

What the model saw

🛡️ **Key Factor:** Philadelphia Eagles allows 18.9 PPG vs opponent allows 26.0

These are the model's own factors, not hand-picked trends.

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All-time record across every published pick: 126–115–2 pushes (3 voided) = 52.3% on 241 decided, +11.6 units (3.5% ROI). Honest math: breakeven at −110 is ~52.4%, and at this sample size the edge is not statistically proven. We publish it anyway — every pick, graded, including the losses. Full ledger →