Free pick of the day · Wednesday, April 15, 2026

ORL @ PHI — NBA

LOSS -1.50 units

Over 223.5 (-103)

Game total · 7:40 PM ET · Model v6.5.0

This side covered in 64.6% of 15,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Simulation rate is a model output, not a promise.

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All-time record across every published pick: 139–120–2 pushes (3 voided) = 53.7% on 259 decided, +4.3 units (1.4% ROI). Honest math: breakeven at −110 is ~52.4%, and at this sample size the edge is not statistically proven. We publish it anyway — every pick, graded, including the losses. Full ledger →